TerraKeepKeeping Earth within its limits
Cloud-free satellite view around Flare field near Ramshir, Khuzestan (Iran) — 44 registered sites, with the finding area outlined
30.98°N 49.38°ENASA Blue Marble via GIBS · outline = finding area
Published

Ramshir flare field, Khuzestan: 18 heat clusters burn nightly, top site lit 29 of 30 nights

Flare field near Ramshir, Khuzestan (Iran) — 44 registered sites · seen · published

Night-time infrared passes from the NOAA-20 and NOAA-21 satellites picked up 18 separate heat clusters inside the Ramshir flare field in Khuzestan, Iran, each hot enough (5 MW or more) to register on at least 5 of the last 30 nights. The most persistent burned on 29 nights, with a peak single-pixel radiative power of 42.47 MW. A later pass on 27 September found heat again at the flagged cluster (25.15 MW), so this is not a one-night artefact. All 18 clusters match sites in the VNF annual flare inventory, the largest credited with 0.266 billion cubic metres in 2024 — evidence these are established flare stacks, not something new.

What this is not: a satellite cannot tell a gas flare from a refinery furnace or a kiln, and heat alone says nothing about who operates the site or how much gas is burned. Cloudy nights hide flares, so counts are a floor, not a ceiling. Cold venting and unlit methane leaks are invisible here entirely.

We would revise if the clusters resolve to non-flare industrial heat, if imagery shows a fire or facility event rather than steady stacks, or if the VNF match proves to be a nearby but different site.

Written by AI, then checked by a separate reviewer before publication. Every claim points at the evidence below.

What we saw

  • NASA fire detections — 18 night-time cluster(s) with FRP ≥ 5 MW lit on ≥ 5 of 30 nights (2026-08-29…2026-09-27); top cluster 29 nights, max 34.01 MW at 31.2104, 48.9516. (Sep 26, 2026) See the source ↗
  • NASA fire detections — 18 night-time cluster(s) with FRP ≥ 5 MW lit on ≥ 5 of 30 nights (2026-08-30…2026-09-28); top cluster 29 nights, max 34.01 MW at 31.2104, 48.9516. (Sep 27, 2026) See the source ↗
  • NASA fire detections — 18 night-time cluster(s) with FRP ≥ 5 MW lit on ≥ 5 of 30 nights (2026-08-31…2026-09-29); top cluster 29 nights, max 34.01 MW at 31.2104, 48.9516. (Sep 28, 2026) See the source ↗
  • NASA fire detections — 18 night-time cluster(s) with FRP ≥ 5 MW lit on ≥ 5 of 30 nights (2026-09-01…2026-09-30); top cluster 29 nights, max 34.01 MW at 31.2104, 48.9514. (Sep 29, 2026) See the source ↗
  • NASA fire detections — Night-time heat with FRP ≥ 5 MW again at the flagged cluster on a later pass (2026-09-27). (Sep 27, 2026) See the source ↗

What it might not be

  • Thermal sensors cannot distinguish a flare from a furnace, refinery or kiln.
  • FRP is not volume; the VIIRS band saturates on large flares. Volume figures come only from the VNF annual summary for 2024.
  • The VNF match proves the sites are known flares, not that these specific burns happened this week.
  • Cloud or smoke hides nights, so persistence counts are a lower bound.
  • Only two passes per night (~01:30 local); short or intermittent burns between passes are missed.
  • No operator or ownership attribution: a cluster is a place, not a company.
  • Unlit venting and cold methane releases are invisible to this method.
  • Cannot tell a gas flare from an industrial furnace, refinery, steel or cement kiln, or a volcano — only persistence and the VNF site match argue 'flare'.
  • Cloud and heavy smoke hide nights; a cloudy month under-counts persistence and can look like a flare was turned off.
  • FRP is not flared volume: the VIIRS I-band saturates on the largest flares and the FIRMS FRP is a single-pixel estimate — volumes come only from the VNF annual summary.
  • Venting and unlit (cold) methane releases are invisible to thermal sensors — pair with S5P / EMIT methane.
  • No ownership or operator attribution: a cluster is a place, not a company; attribution needs asset registries (GEM, GGFR) and human review.
  • Two VIIRS passes per night at ~01:30 local; short or intermittent flaring between passes is missed. S-NPP ends Nov 2026, so NOAA-20/21 only.
  • The VNF confirmation is an annual aggregate from a past year: it proves the site is a known flare, not that it flared this week.
  • 'New flaring' only means no site of the VNF 2023/2024 annual summaries within 2 km: a flare too small or too cloudy for EOG's annual product, or a new furnace, also qualifies.

What would change our mind

Newer satellite images that show no change, a correction from the data source, or a reply with evidence from the ground. If that happens, the case is marked “Turned out wrong” — in public — and it stays on this site.

Why this was published

Two separate sources agreed — NASA fire detections, then NASA fire detections — and a reviewer checked the evidence before it went up.

Replies

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Ledger id 01a0e063-8444-7e1d-8c9c-aec271854176

Technical details rule, evidence ids, history, proof
Rule
flaring v1.0
Tier
T2
Tags
flaring, oil-gas, discovered, irn, irn_ups_49.8233e_30.7218n
Confirmed
Yes — independent revisit signal, 2026-09-28
Rule FP rate
6.1 % · 3 of 49 decided
Location
30.98°N 49.38°E
Observed
2026-09-26
Opened
2026-09-27 by automatic rule flaring v1.0
  1. candidate
  2. confirmed
  3. published
  4. resolved

Evidence5

alertfirms-viirs_noaa20_nrt+viirs_noaa21_nrt

18 night-time cluster(s) with FRP ≥ 5 MW lit on ≥ 5 of 30 nights (2026-08-29…2026-09-27); top cluster 29 nights, max 34.01 MW at 31.2104, 48.9516.

hotNightDetections 1095maxFrp 42.47maxNights 29persistentClusters 18vnfMatched 0
· flaring v1.0 · firms-flaring-flare-irn-30p7n-49p8e-2026-08-29-2026-09-27
Source ↗
alertfirms-viirs_noaa20_nrt+viirs_noaa21_nrt

18 night-time cluster(s) with FRP ≥ 5 MW lit on ≥ 5 of 30 nights (2026-08-30…2026-09-28); top cluster 29 nights, max 34.01 MW at 31.2104, 48.9516.

hotNightDetections 1119maxFrp 42.47maxNights 29persistentClusters 18vnfMatched 18vnfTopBcm 0.266vnfTopKm 0.37vnfYear 2024
· flaring v1.0 · firms-flaring-flare-irn-30p7n-49p8e-2026-08-30-2026-09-28
Source ↗
alertfirms-viirs_noaa20_nrt+viirs_noaa21_nrt

18 night-time cluster(s) with FRP ≥ 5 MW lit on ≥ 5 of 30 nights (2026-08-31…2026-09-29); top cluster 29 nights, max 34.01 MW at 31.2104, 48.9516.

hotNightDetections 1135maxFrp 42.47maxNights 29persistentClusters 18vnfMatched 18vnfTopBcm 0.266vnfTopKm 0.37vnfYear 2024
· flaring v1.0 · firms-flaring-flare-irn-30p7n-49p8e-2026-08-31-2026-09-29
Source ↗
alertfirms-viirs_noaa20_nrt+viirs_noaa21_nrt

18 night-time cluster(s) with FRP ≥ 5 MW lit on ≥ 5 of 30 nights (2026-09-01…2026-09-30); top cluster 29 nights, max 34.01 MW at 31.2104, 48.9514.

hotNightDetections 1115maxFrp 42.47maxNights 29persistentClusters 18vnfMatched 18vnfTopBcm 0.266vnfTopKm 0.38vnfYear 2024
· flaring v1.0 · firms-flaring-flare-irn-30p7n-49p8e-2026-09-01-2026-09-30
Source ↗
alertfirms-viirs_noaa20_nrt+viirs_noaa21_nrtConfirming signal

Night-time heat with FRP ≥ 5 MW again at the flagged cluster on a later pass (2026-09-27).

clusters 1maxFrp 25.15
· flaring v1.0 · firms-flaring-flare-irn-30p7n-49p8e-2026-09-27-revisit
Source ↗

Context

ENSO El Niño · ONI +1.8

Publication gates

  • Evidence — 4 pieces from firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt+viirs_noaa21_nrt — met
  • Independent confirmation — a different revisit (firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt+viirs_noaa21_nrt), 2026-09-28 — met
  • Human approval — 1 of 2 needed at tier 2 — not met
  • Narration — AI-drafted by claude-opus-5 — met
Published
2026-09-30 by AI model
Narrated By
AI model
Reviewed By
AI model
Policy
2026-09-26-autonomous
Note
autonomous publish: narrated by model:claude-opus-5, reviewed by model:claude-sonnet-5 (policy 2026-09-26-autonomous)

History8

  1. status changed → publishedAI model
  2. reviewed → confirmedAI model
  3. narrated → confirmedAI model
  4. evidence added → confirmedautomatic rule flaring v1.0
  5. evidence added → confirmedautomatic rule flaring v1.0
  6. evidence added → confirmedautomatic rule flaring v1.0
  7. confirmed → confirmedautomatic rule flaring v1.0
  8. created → candidateautomatic rule flaring v1.0

Verify

Checkpoint
earthdeck.dev/findings/v1 · 971 entries
Signed root
65becba35e7b…cfb1ac
This case
8 signed events
Leaf
#964 of 971 — this case’s latest event
Leaf hash
bb471ef24e10…aa6823
Proof
8-hash audit path
  1. 81c9a6833ff80b478ee21519c390a2b17686560ad65c27d6b8f91871e2ee54b8
  2. f434122a20b9906a8b0028d99d8c90850ab4b2e091dfc688d5f50f6e2155fa90
  3. dfed8ea5f9a2938ff735b488850f0af7e829587f069073051c5e18396ed15c92
  4. f03d09f61778113da25d1abb1fd48d266ab0d3a8ba35563ff54eb6dd55459da7
  5. 86d57304ddba91cb44fb33ac9e4294873940805fa57f40f04b5b131c5eec4764
  6. d4a69eb9bd4aba2b04a0c06f8365d5c370a5591fa80d0e8a9962a94eea222b01
  7. b151de5eaefddf3d1cfc86f94cdbc3995ed5d406a6c0acfc99649a5d48d50794
  8. 5f7580b7f5a7f09ff7675565fb36c19876079a6c101f721419a5a07a7a23b1c1
Last event
173e2ff0ee0c…e9fee1
Note
Checkpoint text
earthdeck.dev/findings/v1
971
Zb7Lo157ettQqPmu0tm88BnWSkMC3ZJMEFFRbmvPsaw=

— earthdeck TkCXvy4ab1W8aoaOb+pzCGCDnG5hglritooG+HSh5E2eK5bX/GOa8ngRawRBFFq9xkoAkQHY2WV8CTtkhuUX2a2EhA8=

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