{"finding":{"findingId":"01a0e078-f120-7ec4-8454-afbb8e99676b","status":"published","tier":1,"rule":{"name":"fires_in_protected","version":"1.0","params":{"dayRange":2,"minDetections":5,"minFrp":20,"revisitHours":18,"source":"VIIRS_NOAA20_NRT"}},"title":"Fire cluster inside Estação Ecológica Da Terra Do Meio (BRA) — tile 2/2: 5 hot detections","summary":"5 VIIRS detections with fire radiative power ≥ 20 MW within 2 days inside the watched boundary; density 1.758× the 30 km neighbourhood. Awaiting an independent signal (EONET event or a later pass).","geometry":{"type":"Point","coordinates":[-53.09,-6.26]},"bbox":[-54.44,-7.36,-52.73,-5.74],"aoi":{"id":"wdpa-351711-2","name":"Estação Ecológica Da Terra Do Meio (BRA) — tile 2/2","tags":["protected-area","discovered","bra","iucn-ia","ecological-station"]},"context":{"enso":{"phase":"El Niño","oni":1.8},"events":[],"baseline":{"metric":"hot detections per deg²","ringKm":30,"aoiValue":1.805,"regionalValue":1.027,"ratio":1.758}},"blindSpots":["Cannot tell wildfire from managed burning, agricultural fire or a legal prescribed burn.","VIIRS misses fires under cloud/smoke and small or short-lived fires between overpasses (~2/day).","The watched boundary is the watchlist's bbox, not the legal polygon, until protected_areas (M3) lands.","S-NPP products end 1 Nov 2026 — the default source is NOAA-20; a source outage looks like calm.","Says nothing about cause or responsibility; attribution needs land-tenure and concession layers."],"observedAt":"2026-09-26T00:00:00Z","createdAt":"2026-09-27T01:24:00.823Z","updatedAt":"2026-10-01T01:24:12.573Z","createdBy":"system:fires_in_protected@1.0","confirmed":{"at":"2026-09-28T18:50:32.525Z","independence":"revisit","signal":{"id":"firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-28-revisit","kind":"alert","source":"firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt","datetime":"2026-09-28T00:00:00Z","method":{"name":"fires_in","version":"1.0","params":{"bbox":[-54.44,-7.36,-52.73,-5.74],"dayRange":1,"minFrp":20,"source":"VIIRS_NOAA20_NRT"}},"summary":"5 hot detections again on a later pass (2026-09-28).","values":{"detections":5}}},"evidence":[{"id":"firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-26","kind":"alert","source":"firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt","datetime":"2026-09-26T00:00:00Z","href":"https://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/","method":{"name":"fires_in","version":"1.0","params":{"bbox":[-54.44,-7.36,-52.73,-5.74],"dayRange":2,"minFrp":20,"source":"VIIRS_NOAA20_NRT"}},"summary":"5 detections with FRP ≥ 20 MW in 2 d (max 109.2 MW).","values":{"detections":5,"maxFrp":109.2}},{"id":"firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-28","kind":"alert","source":"firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt","datetime":"2026-09-28T00:00:00Z","href":"https://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/","method":{"name":"fires_in","version":"1.0","params":{"bbox":[-54.44,-7.36,-52.73,-5.74],"dayRange":2,"minFrp":20,"source":"VIIRS_NOAA20_NRT"}},"summary":"5 detections with FRP ≥ 20 MW in 2 d (max 25.6 MW).","values":{"detections":5,"maxFrp":25.6}},{"id":"firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-30","kind":"alert","source":"firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt","datetime":"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","href":"https://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/","method":{"name":"fires_in","version":"1.0","params":{"bbox":[-54.44,-7.36,-52.73,-5.74],"dayRange":2,"minFrp":20,"source":"VIIRS_NOAA20_NRT"}},"summary":"14 detections with FRP ≥ 20 MW in 2 d (max 89.3 MW).","values":{"detections":14,"maxFrp":89.3}}],"attribution":null,"narration":{"v":1,"eventId":"01a0f50f-afc2-7efd-b0bd-4844f4c2d986","findingId":"01a0e078-f120-7ec4-8454-afbb8e99676b","at":"2026-10-01T01:24:01.090Z","actor":"model:claude-opus-5","prev":"e544dd1574395eb7fc4bcb198164228ca84086d88b11e9ebde1c10d3ed180849","kind":"narrated","text":"Repeat fire detections inside Terra do Meio ecological station, peaking at 109.2 MW\n\nSatellite heat sensors (VIIRS on NOAA-20) logged 5 detections with fire radiative power at or above 20 MW over a two-day window inside the watched boundary of Estação Ecológica da Terra do Meio, the hottest at 109.2 MW. A later pass on 28 September again returned 5 hot detections (max 25.6 MW), and by 30 September the two-day count had risen to 14 detections (max 89.3 MW). Hot-detection density inside the area runs about 1.758 times the surrounding 30 km ring (1.805 versus 1.027 per deg²).\n\nThis is a record of heat, not of clearing or of who lit it. VIIRS cannot separate wildfire from managed, agricultural or legally prescribed burning, and the season is running under a strong El Niño (ONI 1.8), which favours dry fuel and fire spread regardless of land use. The watched area is a bounding box, not the legal protected-area polygon, so some detections may fall outside the reserve.\n\nWhat would change our mind: higher-resolution imagery showing burn scars outside the legal boundary, a prescribed-burn or land-management record covering these dates, or confirmation that cloud and smoke skewed the counts.\n\nKey numbers:\n- Hot detections in first 2-day window: 5 [firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-26]\n- Peak fire radiative power (MW): 109.2 [firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-26]\n- Hot detections on the 28 Sep revisit: 5 [firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-28-revisit]\n- Peak FRP on 28 Sep (MW): 25.6 [firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-28]\n- Hot detections by 30 Sep (2-day window): 14 [firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-30]\n- Peak FRP on 30 Sep (MW): 89.3 [firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-30]\n\nConfidence: medium\nCaveats:\n- Confirmation is a later pass from the same sensor, not a separate instrument or an EONET event.\n- Thermal detections cannot distinguish wildfire from managed, agricultural or prescribed burning.\n- The monitored area is a bounding box, not the legal protected-area polygon.\n- VIIRS misses fires under cloud or smoke and short-lived fires between the roughly twice-daily overpasses.\n- A source outage (NOAA-20 feed) would look like calm, not absence of fire.\n- No statement is made about cause or responsibility; that needs land-tenure and concession data.","model":{"id":"claude-opus-5","provider":"anthropic"},"promptSha256":"621638b430051a28ac619d431e99778a60aba5fcaf44ddbd873ee6d243a1b253","transcriptSha256":"438d0fc74f5098a24cb73882dd1042796a3e654c55d28a92cd14eb91d0570158","evidenceRefs":["firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-26","firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-28-revisit","firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-28","firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-30"]},"reviews":[{"v":1,"eventId":"01a0f50f-dc80-74d4-83a0-3ca7e4518c74","findingId":"01a0e078-f120-7ec4-8454-afbb8e99676b","at":"2026-10-01T01:24:12.544Z","actor":"model:claude-sonnet-5","prev":"679d11dad0b51408676a479963b747c4c0e1e22c0816fc239f4343454b3fa59a","kind":"reviewed","decision":"approve","tier":1,"note":"All quoted numbers (5 detections, 109.2 MW, 25.6 MW, 14 detections, 89.3 MW, 1.758x density) match the evidence entries exactly.; Narration explicitly flags that confirmation is same-sensor revisit, not independent instrument/EONET, matching the finding's confirmation.independence field.; Blind spots are faithfully carried over: cannot distinguish wildfire from managed/agricultural/prescribed burn, bbox vs legal polygon, cloud/smoke and revisit gaps, no attribution of cause.; No individuals are named; language stays at the level of sensor data and protected area.; AOI is tagged protected-area/discovered, not control, so this is a live finding fit for the public record, not a test case.","verdict":"publish"}],"notifications":[],"replies":[],"retracted":null,"history":[{"at":"2026-09-27T01:24:00.823Z","kind":"created","status":"candidate","actor":"system:fires_in_protected@1.0"},{"at":"2026-09-28T18:50:32.525Z","kind":"confirmed","status":"confirmed","actor":"system:fires_in_protected@1.0"},{"at":"2026-09-29T00:50:30.333Z","kind":"evidence_added","status":"confirmed","actor":"system:fires_in_protected@1.0"},{"at":"2026-10-01T00:50:33.169Z","kind":"evidence_added","status":"confirmed","actor":"system:fires_in_protected@1.0"},{"at":"2026-10-01T01:24:01.090Z","kind":"narrated","status":"confirmed","actor":"model:claude-opus-5"},{"at":"2026-10-01T01:24:12.544Z","kind":"reviewed","status":"confirmed","actor":"model:claude-sonnet-5"},{"at":"2026-10-01T01:24:12.573Z","kind":"status_changed","status":"published","actor":"model:claude-sonnet-5"}],"eventCount":7,"lastEventHash":"7d8b99fa6c79cb5509817ec766ab045fba85a96799b5535a787bdf51e4f9a27b"},"events":[{"v":1,"eventId":"01a0e078-f120-7b12-8a41-a99d3f994d9a","findingId":"01a0e078-f120-7ec4-8454-afbb8e99676b","at":"2026-09-27T01:24:00.823Z","actor":"system:fires_in_protected@1.0","prev":null,"kind":"created","rule":{"name":"fires_in_protected","version":"1.0","params":{"dayRange":2,"minDetections":5,"minFrp":20,"revisitHours":18,"source":"VIIRS_NOAA20_NRT"}},"title":"Fire cluster inside Estação Ecológica Da Terra Do Meio (BRA) — tile 2/2: 5 hot detections","summary":"5 VIIRS detections with fire radiative power ≥ 20 MW within 2 days inside the watched boundary; density 1.758× the 30 km neighbourhood. Awaiting an independent signal (EONET event or a later pass).","tier":1,"geometry":{"type":"Point","coordinates":[-53.09,-6.26]},"bbox":[-54.44,-7.36,-52.73,-5.74],"aoi":{"id":"wdpa-351711-2","name":"Estação Ecológica Da Terra Do Meio (BRA) — tile 2/2","tags":["protected-area","discovered","bra","iucn-ia","ecological-station"]},"observedAt":"2026-09-26T00:00:00Z","evidence":[{"id":"firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-26","kind":"alert","source":"firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt","datetime":"2026-09-26T00:00:00Z","href":"https://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/","method":{"name":"fires_in","version":"1.0","params":{"bbox":[-54.44,-7.36,-52.73,-5.74],"dayRange":2,"minFrp":20,"source":"VIIRS_NOAA20_NRT"}},"summary":"5 detections with FRP ≥ 20 MW in 2 d (max 109.2 MW).","values":{"detections":5,"maxFrp":109.2}}],"context":{"enso":{"phase":"El Niño","oni":1.8},"events":[],"baseline":{"metric":"hot detections per deg²","ringKm":30,"aoiValue":1.805,"regionalValue":1.027,"ratio":1.758}},"blindSpots":["Cannot tell wildfire from managed burning, agricultural fire or a legal prescribed burn.","VIIRS misses fires under cloud/smoke and small or short-lived fires between overpasses (~2/day).","The watched boundary is the watchlist's bbox, not the legal polygon, until protected_areas (M3) lands.","S-NPP products end 1 Nov 2026 — the default source is NOAA-20; a source outage looks like calm.","Says nothing about cause or responsibility; attribution needs land-tenure and concession layers."]},{"v":1,"eventId":"01a0e95d-9d11-7852-9f08-29cb3862a754","findingId":"01a0e078-f120-7ec4-8454-afbb8e99676b","at":"2026-09-28T18:50:32.525Z","actor":"system:fires_in_protected@1.0","prev":"6de14886057ac956391f86229ff527e73d77cc282a6a1eb7d6f820310735a92d","kind":"confirmed","signal":{"id":"firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-28-revisit","kind":"alert","source":"firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt","datetime":"2026-09-28T00:00:00Z","method":{"name":"fires_in","version":"1.0","params":{"bbox":[-54.44,-7.36,-52.73,-5.74],"dayRange":1,"minFrp":20,"source":"VIIRS_NOAA20_NRT"}},"summary":"5 hot detections again on a later pass (2026-09-28).","values":{"detections":5}},"independence":"revisit"},{"v":1,"eventId":"01a0eaa8-12d8-724a-aacc-a65b4ef501c8","findingId":"01a0e078-f120-7ec4-8454-afbb8e99676b","at":"2026-09-29T00:50:30.333Z","actor":"system:fires_in_protected@1.0","prev":"7a6df14bd52f7ac70a8717c4a0900e2fc348051f67743e2af1dcc69c06c330e7","kind":"evidence_added","evidence":[{"id":"firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-28","kind":"alert","source":"firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt","datetime":"2026-09-28T00:00:00Z","href":"https://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/","method":{"name":"fires_in","version":"1.0","params":{"bbox":[-54.44,-7.36,-52.73,-5.74],"dayRange":2,"minFrp":20,"source":"VIIRS_NOAA20_NRT"}},"summary":"5 detections with FRP ≥ 20 MW in 2 d (max 25.6 MW).","values":{"detections":5,"maxFrp":25.6}}]},{"v":1,"eventId":"01a0f4f3-c766-7b08-b4b6-4b6d2be8f728","findingId":"01a0e078-f120-7ec4-8454-afbb8e99676b","at":"2026-10-01T00:50:33.169Z","actor":"system:fires_in_protected@1.0","prev":"172b2a024a7bb88d9641d46640335651d0e36d7a3469cb71802321eaba3ce9ab","kind":"evidence_added","evidence":[{"id":"firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-30","kind":"alert","source":"firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt","datetime":"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","href":"https://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/","method":{"name":"fires_in","version":"1.0","params":{"bbox":[-54.44,-7.36,-52.73,-5.74],"dayRange":2,"minFrp":20,"source":"VIIRS_NOAA20_NRT"}},"summary":"14 detections with FRP ≥ 20 MW in 2 d (max 89.3 MW).","values":{"detections":14,"maxFrp":89.3}}]},{"v":1,"eventId":"01a0f50f-afc2-7efd-b0bd-4844f4c2d986","findingId":"01a0e078-f120-7ec4-8454-afbb8e99676b","at":"2026-10-01T01:24:01.090Z","actor":"model:claude-opus-5","prev":"e544dd1574395eb7fc4bcb198164228ca84086d88b11e9ebde1c10d3ed180849","kind":"narrated","text":"Repeat fire detections inside Terra do Meio ecological station, peaking at 109.2 MW\n\nSatellite heat sensors (VIIRS on NOAA-20) logged 5 detections with fire radiative power at or above 20 MW over a two-day window inside the watched boundary of Estação Ecológica da Terra do Meio, the hottest at 109.2 MW. A later pass on 28 September again returned 5 hot detections (max 25.6 MW), and by 30 September the two-day count had risen to 14 detections (max 89.3 MW). Hot-detection density inside the area runs about 1.758 times the surrounding 30 km ring (1.805 versus 1.027 per deg²).\n\nThis is a record of heat, not of clearing or of who lit it. VIIRS cannot separate wildfire from managed, agricultural or legally prescribed burning, and the season is running under a strong El Niño (ONI 1.8), which favours dry fuel and fire spread regardless of land use. The watched area is a bounding box, not the legal protected-area polygon, so some detections may fall outside the reserve.\n\nWhat would change our mind: higher-resolution imagery showing burn scars outside the legal boundary, a prescribed-burn or land-management record covering these dates, or confirmation that cloud and smoke skewed the counts.\n\nKey numbers:\n- Hot detections in first 2-day window: 5 [firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-26]\n- Peak fire radiative power (MW): 109.2 [firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-26]\n- Hot detections on the 28 Sep revisit: 5 [firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-28-revisit]\n- Peak FRP on 28 Sep (MW): 25.6 [firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-28]\n- Hot detections by 30 Sep (2-day window): 14 [firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-30]\n- Peak FRP on 30 Sep (MW): 89.3 [firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-30]\n\nConfidence: medium\nCaveats:\n- Confirmation is a later pass from the same sensor, not a separate instrument or an EONET event.\n- Thermal detections cannot distinguish wildfire from managed, agricultural or prescribed burning.\n- The monitored area is a bounding box, not the legal protected-area polygon.\n- VIIRS misses fires under cloud or smoke and short-lived fires between the roughly twice-daily overpasses.\n- A source outage (NOAA-20 feed) would look like calm, not absence of fire.\n- No statement is made about cause or responsibility; that needs land-tenure and concession data.","model":{"id":"claude-opus-5","provider":"anthropic"},"promptSha256":"621638b430051a28ac619d431e99778a60aba5fcaf44ddbd873ee6d243a1b253","transcriptSha256":"438d0fc74f5098a24cb73882dd1042796a3e654c55d28a92cd14eb91d0570158","evidenceRefs":["firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-26","firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-28-revisit","firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-28","firms-viirs_noaa20_nrt-wdpa-351711-2-2026-09-30"]},{"v":1,"eventId":"01a0f50f-dc80-74d4-83a0-3ca7e4518c74","findingId":"01a0e078-f120-7ec4-8454-afbb8e99676b","at":"2026-10-01T01:24:12.544Z","actor":"model:claude-sonnet-5","prev":"679d11dad0b51408676a479963b747c4c0e1e22c0816fc239f4343454b3fa59a","kind":"reviewed","decision":"approve","tier":1,"note":"All quoted numbers (5 detections, 109.2 MW, 25.6 MW, 14 detections, 89.3 MW, 1.758x density) match the evidence entries exactly.; Narration explicitly flags that confirmation is same-sensor revisit, not independent instrument/EONET, matching the finding's confirmation.independence field.; Blind spots are faithfully carried over: cannot distinguish wildfire from managed/agricultural/prescribed burn, bbox vs legal polygon, cloud/smoke and revisit gaps, no attribution of cause.; No individuals are named; language stays at the level of sensor data and protected area.; AOI is tagged protected-area/discovered, not control, so this is a live finding fit for the public record, not a test case.","verdict":"publish"},{"v":1,"eventId":"01a0f50f-dc9d-7e21-8b03-562b8e5c6c88","findingId":"01a0e078-f120-7ec4-8454-afbb8e99676b","at":"2026-10-01T01:24:12.573Z","actor":"model:claude-sonnet-5","prev":"de131cbf5dd9de3cd84d2f35f666797830cd2fc6db8a2a949a3cdabdc68e4f5d","kind":"status_changed","from":"confirmed","to":"published","reason":"autonomous publish: narrated by model:claude-opus-5, reviewed by model:claude-sonnet-5 (policy 2026-09-26-autonomous)","gates":{"narratedBy":"model:claude-opus-5","reviewedBy":["model:claude-sonnet-5"],"policy":"2026-09-26-autonomous"}}],"inclusion":{"index":1076,"leafHash":"5a1694ebf2f0ecf3af5f456420ceffac87dbb2f8aa76925102af4ef7c9e97aa1","proof":["6c3cdd22af177312548440bac4553becd1c3db22c0e0891e52a2e29387efb425","5fbec1646fee286ac62a53fa0c94236ebd2b713333fca9059494cb6531785341","093e42f1eefabffbc5e4d74a33245388b6113d619277e71c959cf9b66d9cb81e","5582be0cf76faa64a396cc419b623db9ad174a590b5a5685c140c076528d3c5c","a075fff0f685bbbd7b0ae95e57f575fc200afdeaf4d162f4a48238b261472a54","90a6a1c0a261ad9f9f60e788c08236eafd993fb4cdb01ea5b4a58da45af5ae7a","64decc40b792c748c3c5f5f534f82c6ed232929960b40f30a38f3d6c3404d29f","8c9c126ddde5463be4c66b848b31cefa5e2e8b034ab906e8158680a170325566"],"size":1104,"root":"2d46ab865c7813b8991ed0d713906b15bef1321a022b8d382a1069dac9d5686a"}}